Microsoft exec: Windows 7 not a magic bullet in tough economy |
Register here for our next TechFlash Live networking event, March 23, featuring an expert panel discussing the future of online advertising.
It would be harder to find a bigger fan of Windows 7 than Bill Veghte, the Microsoft senior vice president in charge of the company's PC Windows business. But even as he touted the advantages of the upcoming operating system this morning, Veghte cautioned analysts that Windows 7, like everything else, won't be immune to the difficult economy.
"I am incredibly optimistic about Windows 7 as a product. As you read the blogosphere, you read the competitive reviews ... we've got a great product," Veghte said at the UBS Global Technology & Services conference, via webcast. "But history would tell us that generally as you ship a new Windows release into the market, the bump that you get in terms of PC units is very modest."
Over the long term, the advances in Windows 7 will contribute to the PC growth rate, Veghte said. But in the short run, past Windows releases show that the product releases themselves impact PC growth rates "very, very modestly," he said.
UBS analyst Heather Bellini asked Veghte about the theory that a new WIndows version will persuade big companies to ugrade their hardware.
"In the conversations that I have with CIOs and IT folks, certainly there is very good enthusiasm about Windows 7 and the opportunity that affords," he said, citing improvements in security, manageability and user experience. "My personal opinion, though, is it will get drowned by the macroeconomic enviroment. As the macroeconomic environment comes back, people will have to buy PCs."
Another key measure for Microsoft is the Windows "premium mix" -- the number of high-end Windows licenses sold as a percentage of the overall number of Windows licenses. That number was 62 percent in Microsoft's most recent quarter -- down 14 percentage points from the same period a year ago. The premium mix was high in Vista's early days but has since dropped, largely because of the increasing popularity of low-cost netbook computers.
The current problem for Microsoft is that Windows XP has been the default operating system for netbooks, because they struggle under the weight of the beefy Windows Vista. In contrast, Windows 7 is expected to be much better on netbooks, but even so, Veghte downplayed the impact on Microsoft's business -- again citing the economy.
"In this economic environment, I think it’s very hard to see us back at the mix we had in the early days of Windows Vista," he said.
Todd Bishop is co-founder and managing editor of TechFlash. He has covered Microsoft and the technology industry for more than five years, most recently as a daily newspaper reporter and blogger based in Seattle.
READ FULL BIOGRAPHYSeattle University Software Engineering
Chinwe Okeke (MSE’08) pursued her graduate degree while working as a developer and technical analyst for the Boeing Company. She picked the SU-MSE program for small class sizes and real world learning opportunities offered through the academic service-learning and capstone projects.
The MSE program at Seattle University is geared for working professionals with classes offered in the evenings. The program builds upon the computing experience of its students and offers courses in a variety of technical and management areas of software engineering, with an emphasis on teamwork and a disciplined approach to problem solving.
Marchex is one of Seattle’s largest ad technology companies with 300+ employees providing call and click based performance marketing products, and managing over $100m in ad budget for tens of thousands of advertisers. Our customers range from local businesses to the Fortune 500.
Our talented and creative product engineering group is hiring.
If you are an innovative software design engineer interested in solving difficult problems at scale, across a wide array of technologies from Lucene to Hadoop to Asterisk and SIP then we’d love to hear from you!
Apply now.
Technology Tax Planning – Did You Take The Deduction?
Technology companies require professional advisors who can assist in all aspects of the business. The BDO Technology Practice provides a full range of services tailored to help address the changing needs of domestic and international companies. In addition to core audit and tax services, BDO professionals can assist technology companies with:
· Revenue recognition
· Business combination accounting
· R&D tax credits
· Compensation and benefits
· Business valuations
Backed by 38 national offices and an international network in 110 countries, we have the domestic and global footprint to serve growing technology companies. Contact sphilpott@bdo.com (audit partner), mreeves@bdo.com (audit partner), psmith@bdo.com (tax partner), tzambito@bdovaluation.us.com (valuation), tfiscus@bdo.com, Director, 206.624.2020